Why did Graham emphasize that investors need to possess a firm character?
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Imagine you decide to shop at a huge, bustling outdoor market. The prices of goods here fluctuate every second – one minute an apple might cost 5 dollars, the next it could jump to 15 dollars, and then later plummet to a mere dollar.
To make matters worse, the market is filled with bullhorns and crowds shouting:
- "Hurry and buy! Apples are going to hit 100 dollars each! You'll miss out if you don't buy now!"
- "Oh no! The apple market is crashing! Get rid of them now! They won't even be worth a penny!"
Doesn't that sound overwhelming? The average person, in such an environment, is easily tempted to rush in and buy when apples are at 15 dollars, only to panic and hastily sell when the price drops to one dollar. The result? Buying high and selling low, guaranteeing a loss.
Benjamin Graham believed the stock market is precisely such a mad place. He stressed investors need a strong temperament. Essentially, this is what allows you to keep your cool amidst the market's chaos and prevents you from being swayed by the noise around you.
In One Sentence: Temperament Matters More Than Intellect
Having guided countless individuals, Mr. Graham observed that the keys to making money in investing weren't primarily intellect or high education. The most crucial factor was having the right temperament. This temperament embodies that unshakable calmness and rationality when faced with market volatility and mass hysteria.
Graham's Brilliant Analogy: "Mr. Market"
To make this easier to grasp, Graham created a classic character – Mr. Market.
- Picture this: You and "Mr. Market" are business partners, jointly owning a company.
- Mr. Market's Character: He's incredibly emotional, acting like someone with bipolar disorder.
- Sometimes he's wildly optimistic, excitedly telling you: "Buddy, our company's prospects are amazing! I'd pay an outrageously high price to buy your shares!"
- Other times he's profoundly pessimistic, despairingly saying: "Heavens, we're ruined! The company is worthless! Please, I'll sell you my shares for pennies, just take them!"
What would someone without a strong temperament do? They'd let Mr. Market's emotions pull them along. When he's excited, they get excited and buy high; when he's depressed, they panic and sell low.
And what would someone with a strong temperament (a "Defensive Investor" as Graham called them) do? They know the score. They understand the true value of their company. So they would:
- Exploit Mr. Market's foolishness: When he quotes a bargain-basement price, they'd think calmly: "This is way too cheap, what a great opportunity!" Then they'd take advantage and buy.
- Ignore Mr. Market's frenzy: When he quotes an absurdly high price, they'd think calmly: "This price is ridiculous, it's a bubble." They might choose to sell or simply ignore him and continue holding.
See? The power lies entirely with you. A strong temperament allows you to treat "Mr. Market" as a servant working for you, rather than a master dictating your moves.
Why is a Strong Temperament So Crucial?
Specifically, a strong temperament helps you achieve the following:
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1. Resist the "Herd Mentality" The stock market is awash with fear and greed. When the crowd stampedes into a stock (greed), you need the courage to stand firm, or even think contrarily. When the market crashes, and everyone is panic-selling (fear), you need the composure to analyze whether this presents a true bargain-buying opportunity. Without a strong temperament, you'll just be tossed around by the crowd.
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2. Stick to Your Principles and Discipline A good investor researches and makes a plan before buying (e.g., judging the price based on the company's intrinsic value). But when the market swings wildly, emotion easily overwhelms reason, causing you to abandon your original plan. A strong temperament is the "ballast" that keeps you executing your strategy consistently, rather than chasing yesterday's "stock guru" or tomorrow's "hot tip."
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3. Truly Achieve a "Margin of Safety" The "margin of safety" – another core principle of Graham's – means paying 40 cents for a dollar's worth of value. When are such opportunities most likely to appear? Precisely during market panics and indiscriminate selling. Daring to buy "against the tide" at such times requires immense psychological courage and unwavering conviction. This is fundamentally a demonstration of temperament.
In short, Graham emphasized a strong temperament because the true battlefield of investing isn't on the exchange floor; it's within your own mind.
Your greatest enemy isn't the volatile market, but the version of yourself that wavers, acts impulsively, and succumbs to temptation and fear. Possessing a strong temperament allows you to hear the whispers of true value amidst the market's chaos and ultimately become that calm winner.